Gareji 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
33%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gareji EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 43%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.21
+150% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gareji
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
28.03.2025 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Gareji Gareji GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gareji
1-2
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gareji vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi edged past Gareji 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Dinamo Tbilisi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gareji had 52% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 48%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Gareji vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Gareji 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gareji vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gareji win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gareji 38%, draw 26%, Dinamo Tbilisi 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gareji) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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