Gagra 1-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.67/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.28
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 0-2 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
27.10.2024 Gagra Gagra 3-1 HT 2-0 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
17.08.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-1 HT 1-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.05.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 1-0 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
11.03.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-1 HT 1-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
1-1
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra and Kolkheti 1913 Poti couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gagra at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gagra had 61% of the ball to Kolkheti 1913 Poti's 39%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gagra had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Gagra and 1.00 for Kolkheti 1913 Poti.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Gagra 1-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gagra 44%, draw 26%, Kolkheti 1913 Poti 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gagra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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