Gagra 3-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.29/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.72
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-1 HT 1-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.05.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-0 HT 1-0 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
11.03.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-1 HT 1-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
3-1
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gagra saw off Kolkheti 1913 Poti 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gagra as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Gagra had 65% of the ball to Kolkheti 1913 Poti's 35%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kolkheti 1913 Poti led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gagra and 1.33 for Kolkheti 1913 Poti.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Gagra 3-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gagra 42%, draw 27%, Kolkheti 1913 Poti 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gagra), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gagra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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