Samgurali 3-3 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.56/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.02
+22% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
01.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
11.03.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
11.11.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 3-2 HT 1-2 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
01.09.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 4-1 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
20.05.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
3-3
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali and Dinamo Batumi shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Samgurali had 42% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 58%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samgurali and 1.50 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?

Samgurali 3-3 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 40%, draw 27%, Dinamo Batumi 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Samgurali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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