Samtredia 0-1 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
48%
Away Win
61%
-13.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 66%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.47/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.26
+35% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Saburtalo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Saburtalo 3-1 HT 1-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
02.05.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 0-3 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
10.03.2024 Saburtalo 2-2 HT 1-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
03.11.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
26.08.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
14.05.2023 Saburtalo 2-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
0-1
AWAY Saburtalo
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo edged past Samtredia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samtredia had 54% of the ball to Saburtalo's 46%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Samtredia and 1.67 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Saburtalo?

Samtredia 0-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 28%, draw 24%, Saburtalo 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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