Saburtalo vs Samtredia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Saburtalo v Samtredia — Team-Based Signals
Saburtalo vs Samtredia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Samtredia
GUR
0-0
HT 0-0
Saburtalo
GUR
Samtredia
GUR
Samtredia
GUR
Saburtalo 3-1 Samtredia — Actual Match Statistics
Saburtalo beat Samtredia 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Saburtalo had 68% of the ball to Samtredia's 32%, shots finished 26-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Saburtalo and 0.50 for Samtredia.
What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Samtredia?
Saburtalo 3-1 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Samtredia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 60%, draw 19%, Samtredia 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.