Al Ansar 0-2 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.00/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.48
+32% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +66%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ansar
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahed
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.04.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
25.02.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 2-4 HT 1-2 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed got the better of Al Ansar 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ansar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ansar and 1.50 for Al Ahed.

What was the final score of Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?

Al Ansar 0-2 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ansar vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Ansar 42%, draw 24%, Al Ahed 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Ansar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
12 May 2025
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