Universitario vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Universitario v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Universitario vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Universitario 0-1 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico shaded a tight game against Universitario 1-0 on the road.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Universitario at 56% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.43, about 70% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Universitario had 69% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 31%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.16 to 0.82.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Universitario and 1.00 for Alianza Atletico.
Universitario vs Alianza Atletico Result & Final Score
Universitario 0-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Universitario vs Alianza Atletico Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Universitario 56%, draw 25%, Alianza Atletico 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Universitario) went the other way.