Wisla Plock 1-0 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.88/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.53
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 350
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
21.04.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
07.10.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-3 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
20.06.2020 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
07.03.2020 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-2 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
04.10.2019 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 4-1 HT 2-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
1-0
AWAY Arka Gdynia
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock squeezed past Arka Gdynia 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wisla Plock as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 46% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 54%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.50 for Arka Gdynia.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Arka Gdynia?

Wisla Plock 1-0 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 42%, draw 24%, Arka Gdynia 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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