Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 30%
-24% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.23/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.05
-27% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.3 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.54 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
318 Passes 314
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 HT 0-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
27.07.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
26.11.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
30.07.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
1-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
0.27 xG 2.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo and Napredak Krusevac couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zeleznicar Pancevo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 56% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 44%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.27 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 0.75 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Napredak Krusevac?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 42%, draw 26%, Napredak Krusevac 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
12 May 2025
19:00 Cukaricki Stankom vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →