Al Akhdoud 0-9 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.47
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 25% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 62%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
0.45/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.09
-43% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
214 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 85%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
14.0 Crosses 21.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.45 xG 2.13
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
220 Passes 610
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
09.05.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
0-9
AWAY Al Nassr
0.12 xG 5.98
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 15
4 Corners 2
165 Passes 610
77% Pass Accuracy 94%
4 Box Touches 37
5 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr ran out comfortable winners over Al Akhdoud 9-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 9-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 25% of the ball to Al Nassr's 75%, shots finished 4-25, expected goals 0.12 to 5.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Akhdoud and 3.00 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr?

Al Akhdoud 0-9 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 25%, draw 25%, Al Nassr 51%. The final score 0-9 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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