Leones FC 2-0 Orsomarso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 12 May 2026

📅12/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
40%
2.83
Away
23%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
20%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
40%
Draw
32%
+8.1pp
23%
Away Win
32%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsomarso EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.27/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+19% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones FC
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Orsomarso
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
25.08.2023 Leones FC Leones FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
09.03.2023 Orsomarso Orsomarso 1-0 HT 1-0 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
18.09.2022 Orsomarso Orsomarso 1-4 HT 0-1 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
18.04.2022 Leones FC Leones FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Orsomarso Orsomarso KOLB
22.03.2021 Orsomarso Orsomarso 1-1 HT 0-1 Leones FC Leones FC KOLB
POST-MATCH Leones FC vs Orsomarso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones FC saw off Orsomarso 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 40% / 23% — and on the day Leones FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Leones FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Leones FC and 0.80 for Orsomarso.

What was the final score of Leones FC vs Orsomarso?

Leones FC 2-0 Orsomarso in the Colombia - Cup on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones FC vs Orsomarso?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leones FC 37%, draw 40%, Orsomarso 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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