Millonarios 1-0 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 12 May 2026

📅12/05/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.34/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/2.00
-16% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Llaneros
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 0.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 297
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.02.2026 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOL
29.07.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOL
12.02.2025 Llaneros Llaneros 2-2 HT 1-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios nicked a narrow win over Llaneros 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Millonarios and 1.33 for Llaneros.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Llaneros?

Millonarios 1-0 Llaneros in the Colombia - Cup on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 57%, draw 22%, Llaneros 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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