Millonarios 2-1 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +24%
1.29/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.43
-11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
20.5 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Llaneros
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.69 xG 0.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 262
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.07.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOL
12.02.2025 Llaneros Llaneros 2-2 HT 1-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
2-1
AWAY Llaneros
1.58 xG 0.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
176 Passes 366
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios edged past Llaneros 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millonarios had 37% of the ball to Llaneros's 63%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.58 to 0.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Millonarios's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Llaneros led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millonarios and 1.50 for Llaneros.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Llaneros?

Millonarios 2-1 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 55%, draw 24%, Llaneros 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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