Deportivo Pasto 1-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.11/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.23
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
17.7 Crosses 13.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1W-3D-2L
AWAY La Equidad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.80 xG 0.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
236 Passes 319
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
15.03.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
11.11.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
23.04.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-3 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.10.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
26.04.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1-1
AWAY La Equidad
0.93 xG 0.76
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
350 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto and La Equidad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 61% of the ball to La Equidad's 39%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.93 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.33 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad?

Deportivo Pasto 1-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 42%, draw 32%, La Equidad 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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