Deportivo Pasto 2-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.14/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.27
-21% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.0 Crosses 13.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1W-3D-2L
AWAY La Equidad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
223 Passes 318
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
23.04.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-3 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.10.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
26.04.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
22.09.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 2-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
29.03.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
2-1
AWAY La Equidad
0.71 xG 0.27
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 389
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto edged past La Equidad 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 38% of the ball to La Equidad's 62%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.71 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.67 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad?

Deportivo Pasto 2-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 43%, draw 31%, La Equidad 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
15 Mar 2025
02:30 Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira Analysis →
22:00 Envigado vs Atletico Nacional Analysis →