Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.03/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.12
+0% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
19.3 Crosses 13.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
280 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.10.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
03.06.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
05.05.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
01.04.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
19.09.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
09.04.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.07 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
392 Passes 259
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira nicked a narrow win over Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Bucaramanga at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 59% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 41%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.07 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.00 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira?

Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 49%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pereira 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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