Envigado 0-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Mar 2025

Envigado
0-0 HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Envigado vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
51%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
13%
+5.5pp
31%
Draw
20%
+10.8pp
51%
Away Win
67%
-16.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 71%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.89/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.94
+28% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -84%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
16.1 Crosses 14.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.3

Envigado vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.56 xG 1.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
258 Passes 324
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.10.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
30.03.2024 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
01.10.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
24.04.2023 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
02.09.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
16.02.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL

Envigado 0-0 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
0-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.24 xG 0.52
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 15
151 Passes 393
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 35
4 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado and Atletico Nacional fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Envigado had 30% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 70%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.24 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Envigado and 1.50 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Atletico Nacional?

Envigado 0-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Envigado 18%, draw 31%, Atletico Nacional 51%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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