Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Deportivo Pereira — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pereira
KOL
3-1
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Independiente Medellin 1-1 Deportivo Pereira — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin and Deportivo Pereira shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Independiente Medellin carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 42%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.80 to 0.35.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.67 for Deportivo Pereira.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Independiente Medellin 1-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 60%, draw 24%, Deportivo Pereira 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No went the other way.