Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Independiente Medellin edged past Fortaleza CEIF 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.67 for Fortaleza CEIF.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Cup on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 57%, draw 22%, Fortaleza CEIF 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.