Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Fortaleza CEIF 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Independiente Medellin had 53% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 47%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.06 to 0.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.
Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Result & Final Score
Independiente Medellin 1 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 62%, draw 22%, Fortaleza CEIF 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.