Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin edged past Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 in the Colombia - Primera on 26 Apr 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 53% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 47%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.06 to 0.24.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin have the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 56%, draw 24%, Fortaleza CEIF 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.