Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Independiente Medellin 3-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin beat Fortaleza CEIF 3-1 in the Colombia - Primera on 18 Oct 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 57% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 43%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.37 to 0.55.
Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin have the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Independiente Medellin 3-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 52%, draw 25%, Fortaleza CEIF 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.