Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 2-2 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto and Atletico Nacional couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Atletico Nacional at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 60% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 40%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.21 to 1.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional?
Deportivo Pasto 2-2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 19%, draw 22%, Atletico Nacional 59%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.