Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
3-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atletico Nacional found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 61% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 39%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.81 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.67 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional?
Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 37%, draw 30%, Atletico Nacional 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) went the other way.