Union Magdalena 3-1 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Oct 2025

Union Magdalena
3-1 HT 1-0
Envigado
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Union Magdalena vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Magdalena v Envigado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.90/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.35
-58% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
18.5 Crosses 12.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Union Magdalena vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Envigado
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 0.74
52% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 238
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
26.04.2025 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
01.08.2023 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
06.02.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
06.08.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
12.02.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-1 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
14.10.2019 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL

Union Magdalena 3-1 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Magdalena
3-1
AWAY Envigado
2.40 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
372 Passes 260
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 14
5 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Magdalena saw off Envigado 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Magdalena as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Magdalena had 56% of the ball to Envigado's 44%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.40 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Magdalena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Magdalena and 0.83 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Envigado?

Union Magdalena 3-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Magdalena win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 41%, draw 33%, Envigado 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Magdalena) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Magdalena) ✗ Under 2.5
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