Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
3-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Atletico Nacional 3-0 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional swept aside Deportivo Pasto 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 67% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 33%, shots finished 21-1, expected goals 2.28 to 0.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.67 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?
Atletico Nacional 3-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 53%, draw 26%, Deportivo Pasto 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.