Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
58%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
58%
Away Win
64%
-6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 69%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.99/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.83
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -18%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
211 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
12.3 Crosses 17.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
238 Passes 349
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2025 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
10.02.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
08.11.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.04.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
02.11.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
20.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.67 xG 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
271 Passes 326
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Deportivo Pereira edged past Atletico Nacional 1-0 in the Colombia - Primera on 26 Apr 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 46% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 54%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.67 to 0.50.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.33 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?

Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 19%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 58%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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