Atletico Nacional 3-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.54/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.13
+20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
18.0 Crosses 12.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.04.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
02.11.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
20.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
04.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
18.03.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
3-0
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
2.95 xG 0.69
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
412 Passes 255
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional swept aside Deportivo Pereira 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 42%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.95 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.83 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?

Atletico Nacional 3-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 55%, draw 26%, Deportivo Pereira 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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