Once Caldas 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.21/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.21
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
18.9 Crosses 13.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.19 xG 0.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
11.02.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
26.08.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
04.03.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
24.09.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
05.04.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
2-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.04 xG 0.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
308 Passes 347
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas nicked a narrow win over Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Once Caldas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Once Caldas had 47% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 53%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.04 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Once Caldas and 0.50 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Once Caldas 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 39%, draw 32%, Atletico Bucaramanga 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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