Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.22/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.21
-3% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
14.8 Crosses 14.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
330 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.09.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-2 HT 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
18.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
30.07.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
31.01.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
13.05.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
21.04.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.30 xG 0.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
309 Passes 202
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF squeezed past Deportivo Cali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 42%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.30 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.33 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 42%, draw 31%, Deportivo Cali 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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