Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.25/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.30
-15% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
24.0 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 Passes 231
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.01.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
13.05.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
21.04.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.91 xG 1.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
312 Passes 255
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF edged past Deportivo Cali 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 54% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 46%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.91 to 1.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Cali.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.33 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 48%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
30 Jul 2024
02:00 Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira Analysis →