Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.5pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +22%
1.20/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.10
-16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
18.1 Crosses 12.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 0.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
254 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
14.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
01.04.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
02.10.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
12.04.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
17.09.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.91 xG 0.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
311 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto beat Deportivo Pereira 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pasto found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 47% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 53%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.91 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.33 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?

Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 36%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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