Deportivo Cali 3-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.2pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
3.11/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.20
+120% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.46 xG 1.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
243 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
30.07.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
31.01.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
13.05.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
21.04.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali nicked a narrow win over Fortaleza CEIF 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Cali as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.40 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Deportivo Cali 3-2 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 48%, draw 26%, Fortaleza CEIF 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cali) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✗ BTTS No
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