Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.4pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 34%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.51/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.80
+16% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.02 xG 1.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
330 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.07.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
31.01.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
13.05.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
21.04.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Cali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.25 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Cup on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 45%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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