Deportivo Pereira 2-1 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
39%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.78
Over 2.5
36%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-10.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.4pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.01/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.94
+17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
14.7 Crosses 14.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
259 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
08.11.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.04.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
02.11.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
20.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
04.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2-1
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.21 xG 0.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
215 Passes 329
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira edged past Atletico Nacional 2-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pereira found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 41% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 59%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.21 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.50 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?

Deportivo Pereira 2-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 31%, draw 30%, Atletico Nacional 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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