Liepaja vs Ogre United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v Ogre United — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs Ogre United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Liepaja 4-1 Ogre United — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja ran out comfortable winners over Ogre United 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Liepaja had 72% of the ball to Ogre United's 28%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 3.78 to 1.15.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Liepaja 4-1 Ogre United in the Latvia - Virsliga on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Ogre United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 62%, draw 18%, Ogre United 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.