Riga FC 4-1 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 12 May 2026

Riga FC
4-1 HT 2-1
Auda
📅12/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
56%
+6.8pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.8pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.15/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.80
-6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
27.4 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Auda
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.77 xG 1.44
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
305 Passes 276
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.03.2026 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
29.10.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Auda Auda LETK
13.09.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 6-0 HT 2-0 Auda Auda LET
27.06.2025 Auda Auda 1-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
05.05.2025 Auda Auda 1-3 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
10.03.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
4-1
AWAY Auda
1.74 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
327 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC swept aside Auda 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Riga FC had 55% of the ball to Auda's 45%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.74 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Riga FC and 1.17 for Auda.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Auda?

Riga FC 4-1 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 63%, draw 19%, Auda 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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12 May 2026
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