Auda 1-3 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 May 2025

Auda
1-3 HT 0-3
Riga FC
📅05/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 62%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.00/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.04
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
Crosses 25.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Riga FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 2.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
14.09.2024 Auda Auda 2-2 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
26.06.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
05.05.2024 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
16.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
30.09.2023 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-3
AWAY Riga FC
1.44 xG 2.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
311 Passes 204
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Auda vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC got the better of Auda 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Auda had 57% of the ball to Riga FC's 43%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.44 to 2.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Auda and 1.50 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Auda vs Riga FC?

Auda 1-3 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Auda 25%, draw 27%, Riga FC 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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5 May 2025
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