Auda 2-2 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 14 Sep 2024

Auda
2-2 HT 1-1
Riga FC
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
59%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
59%
Away Win
66%
-7.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 70%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
0.77/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.13
-14% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +8%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
197 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 542 · 88%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
10.5 Crosses 26.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Riga FC
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.46 xG 1.64
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
302 Passes 391
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
05.05.2024 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
16.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
30.09.2023 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.08.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LETK
08.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
2-2
AWAY Riga FC
1.74 xG 3.01
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
499 Passes 242
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auda vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda and Riga FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Riga FC carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Auda had 63% of the ball to Riga FC's 37%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 1.74 to 3.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Auda and 1.67 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Auda vs Riga FC?

Auda 2-2 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Auda 21%, draw 20%, Riga FC 59%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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