Riga FC 1-0 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 26 Jun 2024

Riga FC
1-0 HT 1-0
Auda
📅26/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
69%
-16.8pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+12.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
2.65/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.66
+11% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +62%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 68%
46.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
30.2 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Auda
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.45 xG 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
388 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
16.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
30.09.2023 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.08.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LETK
08.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
16.05.2023 Auda Auda 0-2 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
1-0
AWAY Auda
1.80 xG 0.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
408 Passes 413
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
40 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC squeezed past Auda 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Riga FC had 51% of the ball to Auda's 49%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.80 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Riga FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Riga FC and 0.17 for Auda.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Auda?

Riga FC 1-0 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 52%, draw 23%, Auda 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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