Rigas Skola 4-1 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.11/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.40
+21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.93 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
332 Passes 250
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-0 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
15.03.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 0-1 HT 0-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
02.09.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-0 HT 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
25.06.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-0 HT 1-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
04.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-1 HT 1-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
11.03.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 0-0 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
4-1
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
2.82 xG 1.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
244 Passes 289
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola ran out comfortable winners over Valmiera / BSS 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 47% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 53%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 2.82 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.83 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Valmiera / BSS?

Rigas Skola 4-1 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 47%, draw 26%, Valmiera / BSS 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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