FS Jelgava 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.3pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 32%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.03/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.94
+22% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.3 Crosses 19.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 277
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
17.03.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-3 HT 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
11.11.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
26.08.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
10.06.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
29.04.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-0
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
0.43 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
272 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava and FK Tukums 2000 fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FS Jelgava at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 49% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 51%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.43 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.50 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?

FS Jelgava 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 44%, draw 20%, FK Tukums 2000 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FS Jelgava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ BTTS No
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