Riga FC 2-2 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 Mar 2025

Riga FC
2-2 HT 0-0
Auda
📅10/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.36/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.73
-4% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
409 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
29.5 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Auda
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.00 xG 0.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Auda Auda 2-2 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
26.06.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
05.05.2024 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
16.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
30.09.2023 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
21.08.2023 Auda Auda 0-4 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LETK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-2
AWAY Auda
2.06 xG 2.48
62% Ball Possession 38%
26 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 6
361 Passes 198
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
45 Box Touches 16
39 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC and Auda couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Riga FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Riga FC had 62% of the ball to Auda's 38%, shots finished 26-13, expected goals 2.06 to 2.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for Auda.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Auda?

Riga FC 2-2 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 53%, draw 24%, Auda 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →