FS Jelgava 2-2 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 70%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.22/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.10
+10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.2
14.4 Crosses 23.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.35 xG 2.43
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
168 Passes 510
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 44
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
30.09.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
05.07.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 7-0 HT 4-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
15.05.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-2 HT 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
03.04.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 4-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
24.09.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
2-2
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.30 xG 1.73
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 9
230 Passes 468
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 35
11 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava and Rigas Skola shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rigas Skola at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 36% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 64%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.30 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FS Jelgava and 3.00 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?

FS Jelgava 2-2 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 21%, draw 25%, Rigas Skola 54%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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