FS Jelgava 0-2 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
12.23
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
62%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
5%
+11.9pp
21%
Draw
10%
+10.8pp
62%
Away Win
84%
-22.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 90%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
0.76/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.69
-38% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 46.8
13.9 Crosses 27.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.38 xG 2.32
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 9
178 Passes 499
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.07.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 7-0 HT 4-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
15.05.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-2 HT 1-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
03.04.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-1 HT 4-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
24.09.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
16.07.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LETK
04.07.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-2
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.20 xG 1.52
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 9
113 Passes 476
57% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Box Touches 39
7 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola got the better of FS Jelgava 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 26% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 74%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.20 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FS Jelgava and 3.17 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?

FS Jelgava 0-2 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 17%, draw 21%, Rigas Skola 62%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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