Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rigas Skola v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Rigas Skola
LET
0-3
HT 0-1
Rigas Skola
LETK
Rigas Skola 1-0 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
Rigas Skola squeezed past FS Jelgava 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rigas Skola had 73% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 27%, shots finished 34-13, expected goals 3.66 to 0.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.33 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava?
Rigas Skola 1-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 66%, draw 18%, FS Jelgava 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.