Grobina vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grobina v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Grobina vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Grobina 3-2 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Grobina nicked a narrow win over BFC Daugavpils 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Grobina found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Grobina had 53% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 47%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grobina and 2.25 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Grobina vs BFC Daugavpils?
Grobina 3-2 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grobina vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grobina 37%, draw 25%, BFC Daugavpils 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) went the other way.