Grobina 3-0 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 49%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.09/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.86
+97% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
22.7 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.65 xG 1.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 230
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-3 HT 0-3 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
16.03.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
3-0
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
2.00 xG 0.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
166 Passes 348
58% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 26
6 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grobina vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina ran out comfortable winners over BFC Daugavpils 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was BFC Daugavpils at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Grobina had 38% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 62%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 2.00 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grobina and 2.50 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Grobina vs BFC Daugavpils?

Grobina 3-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grobina 31%, draw 26%, BFC Daugavpils 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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