Auda 1-3 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 27 Jun 2025

Auda
1-3 HT 0-2
Riga FC
📅27/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
56%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-11.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 71%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.28/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.69/0.73
-9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +63%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.5
12.9 Crosses 28.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Riga FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.28 xG 2.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
345 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2025 Auda Auda 1-3 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
10.03.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
14.09.2024 Auda Auda 2-2 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
26.06.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Auda Auda LET
05.05.2024 Auda Auda 1-2 HT 0-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
16.03.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-3
AWAY Riga FC
0.71 xG 3.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
397 Passes 304
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 45
15 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Auda vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC got the better of Auda 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auda had 55% of the ball to Riga FC's 45%, shots finished 14-26, expected goals 0.71 to 3.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Auda and 1.83 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Auda vs Riga FC?

Auda 1-3 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Auda 21%, draw 24%, Riga FC 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ BTTS No
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LET More Latvia - Virsliga
27 Jun 2025
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