Super Nova 1-1 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / +0%
2.08/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.67
-43% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
30.0 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 Passes 322
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2025 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
12.03.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 4-0 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
08.10.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
21.07.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-3 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
23.05.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 4-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
11.04.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-3 HT 0-2 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-1
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
1.58 xG 2.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
391 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
41 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova and Metta / LU Riga shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Super Nova at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Super Nova had 58% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 42%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.58 to 2.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Super Nova and 1.67 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Metta / LU Riga?

Super Nova 1-1 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 52%, draw 22%, Metta / LU Riga 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Super Nova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Super Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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